Top 25 Predictions

Regular season projection for the college football Top 25 rankings.

Top 25 can mean different things, but here it represents my best statistical forecast of what the CFP Top 25 will look like after the regular season.

Power Rating is the expected margin of victory versus an average FBS opponent on a neutral field. Scoring Offense and Scoring Defense represent average points scored and points allowed per game, respectively, adjusted for strength of schedule. Relative Power is the difference between a team’s Power Rating and their average opponents’ Power Ratings. This can also be thought of as the expected average margin of victory per game (before adjusting for home field advantage).

The rankings are intended to be predictive of College Football Playoff final committee rankings. Records do not include conference championship games, but probability of winning the conference is given, as well as probability of reaching the playoff.

Check back on Monday, August 31st, for the release of College Football Atlas 2020, the only complete CFB preview magazine being launched after all the schedule changes, cancellations, and roster moves that have occurred in this unusual preseason.