Power Ratings

Current D1 college football power ratings [2026 Week 10]

FBS: Division 1 (D1) college football subdivision indicator variable. Use FBS = 1 to include only FBS teams. Use FBS = 0 to include only FCS teams.
Rank: Power rank within team’s D1 subdivision (FBS or FCS). Sorting by Rank without filtering can cause FBS and FCS teams to become intermingled.
π-Rating: Probability of beating an average team at a neutral site. This nonlinear rating is computed by evaluating play-by-play changes in win probability and naturally adds more or less weight based on the importance of the game situation. Essentially, this is a power rating based on game control, not points. π-Ratings for FBS and FCS teams are relative to their own subdivision only; i.e., an FBS team’s π-Rating is the probability of beating an average FBS team, and an FCS team’s π-Rating is the probability of beating an average FCS team, at a neutral site.
% Change: Change in π-Rating compared to preseason rating (from 2026 College Football Atlas). This shows how much teams are over/underperforming relative to preseason Atlas expectations. Only games against D1 teams affect the ratings (so FCS teams playing D2 or D3 are not graded for those games).
Power Rating: Expected net score (i.e., “margin of victory”) versus an average FBS team at a neutral site. This is a function of the π-Rating, linearized into a points concept that can be used for predicting net score between any two D1 teams. Add 2.0 points for home field advantage. Unlike π-Rating, both FBS and FCS teams are on the same points scale for Power Rating, allowing for net score predictions between FBS and FCS teams.
Change: Change in Power Rating compared to preseason rating (from 2026 College Football Atlas). To adjust Atlas preseason lines, simply subtract the Change value for the team and add the Change value for their opponent.

FBS :

Team :

Year	TC	FBS	Rank	Team	Record	π-Rating	% Change	Power	Change
2026	257	1	1	Georgia	7 – 1	100%	1%	38.6	10.2
2026	513	1	2	Notre Dame	7 – 1	99%	1%	33.6	6.6
2026	518	1	3	Ohio State	6 – 2	99%	0%	30.3	-0.7
2026	415	1	4	Miami	8 – 0	99%	2%	29.5	6.5
2026	703	1	5	Texas	6 – 2	98%	1%	27.2	3.2
2026	312	1	6	Iowa	6 – 2	98%	6%	24.8	8.5
2026	306	1	7	Indiana	8 – 1	97%	-1%	24.0	-3.2
2026	433	1	8	Ole Miss	6 – 2	97%	0%	23.6	1.4
2026	8	1	9	Alabama	6 – 2	97%	3%	23.3	4.8
2026	657	1	10	USC	7 – 2	97%	0%	22.3	0.3
2026	732	1	11	Utah	8 – 0	97%	9%	22.0	9.2
2026	529	1	12	Oregon	5 – 3	96%	-3%	21.6	-9.6
2026	365	1	13	LSU	6 – 2	96%	8%	21.4	8.4
2026	749	1	14	Wake Forest	7 – 1	96%	23%	21.1	14.7
2026	77	1	15	BYU	7 – 1	95%	3%	19.6	3.4
2026	700	1	16	Texas Tech	7 – 1	95%	-4%	19.5	-9.8
2026	334	1	17	Kentucky	7 – 1	94%	38%	18.1	16.5
2026	509	1	18	Northwestern	6 – 2	94%	15%	18.0	9.1
2026	694	1	19	Tennessee	6 – 2	94%	1%	17.9	0.7
2026	463	1	20	Nebraska	5 – 3	93%	10%	16.9	6.7
2026	288	1	21	Houston	6 – 2	92%	10%	16.2	6.3
2026	110	1	22	UCLA	8 – 0	92%	13%	15.8	7.2
2026	29	1	23	Arizona	6 – 2	92%	5%	15.8	3.1
2026	434	1	24	Missouri	6 – 2	91%	-1%	15.3	-0.7
2026	235	1	25	Florida	5 – 3	91%	3%	14.9	1.6
2026	367	1	26	Louisville	5 – 3	90%	-4%	14.7	-3.1
2026	522	1	27	Oklahoma	4 – 4	89%	-8%	13.8	-10.0
2026	697	1	28	Texas A&M	4 – 4	89%	-8%	13.8	-10.3
2026	648	1	29	South Carolina	5 – 3	87%	-2%	12.5	-1.1
2026	528	1	30	Oregon State	5 – 3	86%	53%	12.1	16.7
2026	742	1	31	Virginia Tech	6 – 2	86%	37%	12.0	12.3
2026	663	1	32	SMU	6 – 2	86%	0%	11.8	-0.4
2026	66	1	33	Boise State	7 – 1	86%	15%	11.7	5.9
2026	430	1	34	Mississippi State	4 – 4	84%	8%	10.9	3.2
2026	539	1	35	Penn State	4 – 4	84%	3%	10.9	1.3
2026	418	1	36	Michigan	4 – 4	82%	-6%	9.9	-3.4
2026	428	1	37	Minnesota	5 – 3	82%	4%	9.9	1.6
2026	37	1	38	Auburn	4 – 4	82%	8%	9.8	2.8
2026	521	1	39	Oklahoma State	5 – 3	81%	-8%	9.6	-4.2
2026	473	1	40	New Mexico	7 – 1	81%	13%	9.5	4.6
2026	796	1	41	Wisconsin	5 – 3	79%	19%	8.7	6.1
2026	193	1	42	Duke	6 – 2	78%	26%	8.4	7.8
2026	545	1	43	Pitt	6 – 3	77%	-4%	8.1	-1.4
2026	756	1	44	Washington	5 – 3	76%	-19%	7.4	-12.4
2026	301	1	45	Illinois	5 – 3	73%	18%	6.6	5.4
2026	768	1	46	West Virginia	5 – 3	73%	36%	6.4	9.9
2026	457	1	47	North Carolina	4 – 4	72%	21%	6.4	6.1
2026	234	1	48	Florida State	3 – 5	72%	9%	6.1	2.7
2026	490	1	49	NC State	4 – 4	71%	-9%	6.0	-3.0
2026	51	1	50	Baylor	5 – 3	71%	17%	6.0	4.8
2026	147	1	51	Clemson	5 – 3	70%	-12%	5.5	-4.7
2026	746	1	52	Virginia	4 – 5	67%	-17%	4.7	-6.3
2026	706	1	53	UTSA	7 – 1	66%	1%	4.5	0.5
2026	688	1	54	Syracuse	4 – 4	66%	-3%	4.3	-0.8
2026	28	1	55	Arizona State	4 – 4	66%	7%	4.2	1.8
2026	736	1	56	Vanderbilt	3 – 5	65%	-28%	4.2	-12.4
2026	355	1	57	Liberty	7 – 1	65%	38%	4.1	10.8
2026	493	1	58	North Dakota State	7 – 2	64%	16%	3.8	4.3
2026	140	1	59	Cincinnati	5 – 3	62%	2%	3.3	0.5
2026	559	1	60	Purdue	3 – 5	59%	0%	2.5	0.2
2026	698	1	61	TCU	4 – 4	59%	-24%	2.4	-8.1
2026	128	1	62	UCF	4 – 4	56%	11%	1.7	3.1
2026	157	1	63	Colorado	3 – 5	55%	1%	1.4	0.4
2026	327	1	64	Kansas State	4 – 4	55%	8%	1.3	2.0
2026	670	1	65	Texas State	4 – 4	55%	3%	1.3	0.8
2026	317	1	66	JMU	7 – 2	53%	35%	0.9	11.1
2026	31	1	67	Arkansas	3 – 5	51%	-13%	0.4	-3.5
2026	774	1	68	Western Michigan	7 – 2	50%	6%	0.1	1.7
2026	328	1	69	Kansas	3 – 5	49%	0%	-0.3	0.1
2026	404	1	70	Memphis	7 – 2	48%	31%	-0.4	9.8
2026	311	1	71	Iowa State	4 – 4	48%	-7%	-0.5	-1.9
2026	255	1	72	Georgia Tech	2 – 6	45%	-40%	-1.4	-12.8
2026	497	1	73	North Texas	6 – 2	44%	29%	-1.7	9.6
2026	519	1	74	Ohio	6 – 2	41%	24%	-2.4	8.1
2026	721	1	75	Air Force	6 – 2	40%	7%	-2.6	2.0
2026	725	1	76	Army	5 – 3	40%	0%	-2.8	-0.3
2026	315	1	77	Jax State	6 – 2	39%	3%	-2.9	0.8
2026	67	1	78	Boston College	4 – 4	37%	13%	-3.6	4.0
2026	416	1	79	Michigan State	2 – 6	36%	-27%	-3.8	-7.3
2026	96	1	80	Fresno State	5 – 3	36%	12%	-3.9	3.7
2026	709	1	81	Toledo	6 – 2	35%	11%	-3.9	3.6
2026	229	1	82	Florida Atlantic	5 – 3	35%	-1%	-4.1	-0.3
2026	366	1	83	Louisiana Tech	6 – 2	35%	27%	-4.1	11.6
2026	253	1	84	Georgia Southern	4 – 4	35%	14%	-4.1	4.4
2026	107	1	85	Cal	3 – 6	35%	-25%	-4.2	-6.9
2026	674	1	86	Stanford	4 – 5	34%	-21%	-4.3	-5.7
2026	651	1	87	USF	6 – 2	34%	11%	-4.4	3.5
2026	414	1	88	Miami (OH)	5 – 3	32%	6%	-4.9	2.0
2026	164	1	89	UCONN	4 – 4	32%	27%	-5.1	13.8
2026	196	1	90	East Carolina	4 – 4	29%	-30%	-6.0	-8.3
2026	671	1	91	Louisiana	5 – 3	26%	14%	-6.8	6.5
2026	646	1	92	South Alabama	4 – 4	26%	13%	-7.0	5.6
2026	465	1	93	UNLV	5 – 3	25%	1%	-7.1	0.5
2026	27	1	94	App State	5 – 3	25%	4%	-7.3	1.6
2026	587	1	95	Rutgers	2 – 6	25%	-44%	-7.3	-12.5
2026	392	1	96	Maryland	2 – 6	23%	-15%	-7.8	-4.5
2026	719	1	97	Tulsa	4 – 4	22%	-1%	-8.1	-0.1
2026	731	1	98	Utah State	3 – 5	22%	2%	-8.3	0.8
2026	277	1	99	Hawaii	2 – 6	21%	-43%	-8.6	-12.3
2026	726	1	100	Navy	2 – 6	21%	-36%	-8.8	-10.7
2026	718	1	101	Tulane	4 – 4	17%	-11%	-10.4	-4.0
2026	180	1	102	Delaware	4 – 4	16%	-14%	-10.8	-5.2
2026	716	1	103	Troy	4 – 4	16%	0%	-11.0	0.1
2026	30	1	104	Arkansas State	4 – 4	15%	-1%	-11.7	-0.6
2026	811	1	105	Wyoming	5 – 3	15%	0%	-11.7	-0.3
2026	466	1	106	Nevada	3 – 5	13%	4%	-12.4	3.2
2026	419	1	107	MTSU	4 – 4	13%	-2%	-12.6	-1.2
2026	669	1	108	Missouri State	3 – 5	13%	7%	-12.7	4.9
2026	149	1	109	Coastal Carolina	3 – 5	12%	-5%	-13.2	-2.9
2026	388	1	110	Marshall	5 – 3	12%	-17%	-13.3	-7.4
2026	630	1	111	San Jose State	4 – 5	11%	0%	-13.5	0.2
2026	690	1	112	Temple	2 – 6	11%	-12%	-13.6	-5.6
2026	754	1	113	Washington State	1 – 8	11%	-15%	-14.1	-7.1
2026	254	1	114	Georgia State	4 – 4	10%	4%	-14.4	3.8
2026	626	1	115	San Diego State	4 – 5	9%	-18%	-14.9	-8.3
2026	400	1	116	UMASS	4 – 4	9%	5%	-15.2	5.0
2026	231	1	117	FIU	3 – 5	9%	-16%	-15.2	-7.8
2026	204	1	118	Eastern Michigan	4 – 5	9%	-5%	-15.3	-3.4
2026	472	1	119	New Mexico State	3 – 5	8%	-2%	-16.3	-2.0
2026	772	1	120	Western Kentucky	3 – 5	7%	-7%	-16.5	-4.4
2026	156	1	121	Colorado State	3 – 5	7%	-15%	-17.0	-8.8
2026	9	1	122	UAB	4 – 4	7%	2%	-17.1	2.8
2026	1,157	1	123	Kennesaw State	2 – 6	6%	-5%	-17.9	-4.1
2026	574	1	124	Rice	1 – 7	5%	-8%	-19.5	-7.2
2026	86	1	125	Buffalo	5 – 3	5%	0%	-19.6	0.0
2026	129	1	126	Central Michigan	3 – 5	4%	-12%	-20.2	-9.2
2026	71	1	127	Bowling Green	2 – 7	4%	-7%	-20.7	-7.3
2026	624	1	128	Sam Houston	1 – 7	4%	-1%	-20.9	-1.4
2026	331	1	129	Kent State	3 – 6	3%	-13%	-22.3	-11.5
2026	47	1	130	Ball State	3 – 5	3%	1%	-22.5	1.7
2026	664	1	131	Southern Miss	3 – 5	2%	-6%	-24.3	-8.6
2026	5	1	132	Akron	1 – 7	2%	-2%	-26.0	-5.3
2026	523	1	133	Old Dominion	2 – 7	2%	-10%	-26.3	-13.3
2026	503	1	134	Northern Illinois	0 – 8	1%	-3%	-28.0	-6.2
2026	498	1	135	ULM	1 – 7	1%	-6%	-28.9	-12.2
2026	458	1	136	Charlotte	1 – 7	1%	-2%	-30.1	-8.2
2026	704	1	137	UTEP	1 – 7	1%	-1%	-30.9	-6.0
2026	102	1	138	Sacramento State	2 – 7	0%	-2%	-35.7	-8.6
2026	440	0	1	Montana State	8 – 1	99%	-1%	3.4	-7.5
2026	649	0	2	South Dakota State	7 – 2	99%	0%	0.8	1.5
2026	299	0	3	Illinois State	7 – 2	99%	1%	-0.9	2.6
2026	676	0	4	Stephen F. Austin	9 – 0	99%	3%	-1.0	7.2
2026	494	0	5	North Dakota	6 – 4	98%	0%	-3.5	-0.7
2026	817	0	6	Youngstown State	7 – 2	98%	2%	-4.9	3.9
2026	441	0	7	Montana	6 – 3	97%	-2%	-5.5	-8.9
2026	650	0	8	South Dakota	7 – 3	97%	0%	-5.5	1.5
2026	501	0	9	Northern Arizona	7 – 2	96%	2%	-8.0	2.5
2026	352	0	10	Lehigh	7 – 2	96%	4%	-8.6	4.4
2026	1,395	0	11	Tarleton State	9 – 0	96%	-2%	-8.8	-4.5
2026	275	0	12	Harvard	6 – 1	95%	-1%	-9.4	-1.6
2026	406	0	13	Mercer	7 – 2	95%	-1%	-9.8	-0.7
2026	43	0	14	Austin Peay	7 – 2	93%	-3%	-12.0	-3.1
2026	2	0	15	Abilene Christian	5 – 4	93%	-2%	-12.5	-2.8
2026	692	0	16	Tennessee Tech	8 – 1	92%	2%	-13.0	2.0
2026	294	0	17	Idaho State	6 – 3	92%	-4%	-13.5	-5.1
2026	439	0	18	Monmouth	7 – 2	90%	13%	-15.0	6.3
2026	295	0	19	Idaho	4 – 5	88%	1%	-16.4	0.4
2026	346	0	20	Lamar	7 – 2	87%	23%	-16.6	8.8
2026	739	0	21	Villanova	5 – 4	87%	-10%	-16.6	-10.9
2026	2,743	0	22	Incarnate Word	5 – 4	86%	23%	-17.2	8.6
2026	127	0	23	CCSU	5 – 3	86%	57%	-17.6	17.3
2026	153	0	24	Colgate	5 – 4	86%	29%	-17.6	9.8
2026	758	0	25	Weber State	6 – 4	85%	33%	-18.2	10.5
2026	172	0	26	Dartmouth	4 – 3	85%	-1%	-18.2	-1.1
2026	108	0	27	UC Davis	5 – 4	84%	-13%	-18.6	-12.2
2026	647	0	28	South Carolina State	7 – 2	84%	9%	-18.6	3.2
2026	667	0	29	Southern Utah	3 – 6	83%	-9%	-19.1	-5.9
2026	198	0	30	ETSU	6 – 3	82%	13%	-19.3	4.7
2026	813	0	31	Yale	4 – 3	82%	-13%	-19.5	-9.9
2026	207	0	32	Eastern Washington	2 – 7	80%	10%	-20.2	3.4
2026	659	0	33	Southern Illinois	4 – 5	80%	-18%	-20.4	-18.3
2026	504	0	34	Northern Iowa	4 – 4	79%	13%	-20.6	4.2
2026	1,092	0	35	Gardner-Webb	3 – 6	78%	-13%	-21.0	-7.2
2026	14	0	36	Albany	6 – 3	72%	33%	-23.3	8.9
2026	80	0	37	Brown	4 – 3	72%	15%	-23.3	4.1
2026	693	0	38	Chattanooga	6 – 3	71%	25%	-23.4	6.7
2026	572	0	39	Rhode Island	5 – 4	70%	-19%	-23.8	-8.3
2026	115	0	40	Campbell	7 – 2	69%	28%	-24.1	7.5
2026	554	0	41	Princeton	5 – 2	67%	13%	-24.8	3.3
2026	575	0	42	Richmond	6 – 3	66%	9%	-25.2	2.0
2026	2,915	0	43	Wofford	5 – 4	65%	19%	-25.3	5.0
2026	655	0	44	SE Louisiana	4 – 5	64%	-28%	-25.5	-12.4
2026	654	0	45	SE Missouri State	5 – 4	64%	3%	-25.7	0.6
2026	769	0	46	Western Carolina	4 – 5	63%	-18%	-25.8	-6.2
2026	487	0	47	North Alabama	5 – 4	62%	28%	-26.1	7.5
2026	48	0	48	Charleston Southern	4 – 5	61%	13%	-26.4	3.3
2026	167	0	49	Cornell	3 – 4	59%	15%	-26.9	4.0
2026	90	0	50	Cal Poly	4 – 6	59%	-22%	-26.9	-7.2
2026	1,068	0	51	Elon	4 – 5	59%	-13%	-27.0	-3.9
2026	4,019	0	52	West Florida	4 – 3	58%	51%	-27.2	19.1
2026	87	0	53	Butler	7 – 2	57%	40%	-27.5	12.2
2026	489	0	54	NC Central	4 – 5	57%	-18%	-27.5	-5.4
2026	410	0	55	Merrimack	4 – 5	56%	23%	-27.8	6.0
2026	771	0	56	Western Illinois	5 – 4	56%	27%	-27.8	7.4
2026	502	0	57	Northern Colorado	3 – 6	56%	2%	-27.9	0.3
2026	244	0	58	Furman	2 – 7	56%	-10%	-27.9	-3.2
2026	540	0	59	Pennsylvania	3 – 4	55%	-24%	-28.1	-7.5
2026	194	0	60	Duquesne	4 – 4	54%	-6%	-28.3	-1.8
2026	536	0	61	UTRGV	4 – 5	54%	11%	-28.4	2.7
2026	287	0	62	Houston Christian	4 – 5	53%	44%	-28.5	15.6
2026	305	0	63	Indiana State	2 – 7	51%	-17%	-29.2	-5.0
2026	683	0	64	Stony Brook	5 – 4	49%	-6%	-29.5	-1.5
2026	6	0	65	Alabama A&M	7 – 2	49%	44%	-29.6	19.3
2026	620	0	66	St. Thomas	7 – 2	49%	5%	-29.8	0.9
2026	201	0	67	Eastern Illinois	3 – 6	46%	2%	-30.6	0.2
2026	285	0	68	Holy Cross	4 – 5	46%	-17%	-30.6	-5.0
2026	202	0	69	Eastern Kentucky	3 – 6	43%	-27%	-31.2	-7.6
2026	766	0	70	West Georgia	1 – 8	42%	-30%	-31.5	-8.4
2026	550	0	71	Portland State	2 – 7	41%	-10%	-31.7	-2.8
2026	178	0	72	Delaware State	5 – 4	40%	9%	-32.0	2.6
2026	402	0	73	McNeese State	4 – 5	39%	7%	-32.3	1.7
2026	314	0	74	Jackson State	6 – 2	38%	-2%	-32.6	-0.9
2026	1,004	0	75	Central Arkansas	2 – 7	37%	-24%	-32.8	-6.5
2026	4,005	0	76	Lindenwood	4 – 4	36%	-13%	-33.1	-3.7
2026	261	0	77	Grambling	4 – 4	36%	20%	-33.2	6.9
2026	485	0	78	Norfolk State	4 – 5	36%	28%	-33.2	12.1
2026	158	0	79	Columbia	4 – 3	35%	8%	-33.6	2.2
2026	711	0	80	Towson	1 – 8	34%	-24%	-33.8	-6.8
2026	2,678	0	81	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	5 – 3	34%	31%	-33.8	18.4
2026	236	0	82	Fordham	2 – 7	32%	8%	-34.4	2.4
2026	682	0	83	Stonehill College	4 – 5	32%	24%	-34.5	10.7
2026	695	0	84	UT Martin	3 – 6	31%	-43%	-34.6	-12.2
2026	175	0	85	Dayton	7 – 1	30%	20%	-35.0	8.9
2026	446	0	86	Morgan State	5 – 4	30%	8%	-35.0	2.6
2026	342	0	87	Lafayette	3 – 5	30%	-54%	-35.0	-16.9
2026	251	0	88	Georgetown	3 – 4	29%	0%	-35.2	-0.1
2026	4,001	0	89	Utah Tech	1 – 8	29%	-11%	-35.3	-3.4
2026	625	0	90	Samford	3 – 6	28%	8%	-35.6	2.6
2026	786	0	91	William & Mary	3 – 6	28%	-41%	-35.6	-11.7
2026	454	0	92	Murray State	1 – 8	27%	-11%	-35.9	-3.6
2026	590	0	93	Sacred Heart	4 – 4	27%	-2%	-36.0	-0.9
2026	380	0	94	Maine	1 – 8	25%	-37%	-36.6	-10.6
2026	553	0	95	Prairie View A&M	4 – 5	25%	-17%	-36.6	-5.4
2026	7	0	96	Alabama State	4 – 4	25%	-38%	-36.8	-11.2
2026	17	0	97	Alcorn State	5 – 4	23%	15%	-37.2	7.7
2026	469	0	98	New Hampshire	2 – 7	23%	-65%	-37.2	-21.0
2026	199	0	99	East Texas A&M	3 – 6	22%	3%	-37.8	0.9
2026	141	0	100	Citadel	2 – 7	20%	3%	-38.7	1.1
2026	386	0	101	Marist	4 – 5	19%	14%	-38.9	9.3
2026	81	0	102	Bryant	5 – 4	18%	-15%	-39.2	-5.4
2026	290	0	103	Howard	4 – 5	18%	6%	-39.2	3.3
2026	361	0	104	LIU	3 – 6	17%	-8%	-40.0	-3.6
2026	488	0	105	NC A&T	4 – 5	15%	13%	-40.7	13.2
2026	627	0	106	San Diego	4 – 5	15%	-11%	-40.9	-4.8
2026	735	0	107	Valparaiso	4 – 4	13%	12%	-42.0	19.3
2026	83	0	108	Bucknell	1 – 8	13%	-7%	-42.0	-3.8
2026	665	0	109	Southern University	4 – 5	12%	8%	-42.5	7.7
2026	189	0	110	Drake	3 – 6	12%	-29%	-42.7	-11.1
2026	408	0	111	Mercyhurst	1 – 8	11%	-3%	-43.1	-2.0
2026	579	0	112	Robert Morris	4 – 5	8%	0%	-45.0	0.6
2026	699	0	113	Texas Southern	3 – 5	8%	-8%	-45.3	-5.1
2026	136	0	114	Chicago State	2 – 7	8%	-1%	-45.8	-1.4
2026	470	0	115	New Haven	2 – 7	8%	-20%	-45.9	-10.6
2026	483	0	116	Nicholls State	3 – 6	7%	-43%	-46.0	-16.8
2026	691	0	117	Tennessee State	2 – 7	5%	-3%	-49.2	-3.6
2026	748	0	118	Wagner	1 – 8	4%	-8%	-49.6	-7.1
2026	61	0	119	Bethune-Cookman	5 – 4	4%	-8%	-50.1	-7.6
2026	1,320	0	120	Presbyterian	4 – 5	4%	-35%	-50.3	-18.2
2026	228	0	121	Florida A&M	2 – 7	4%	-5%	-50.6	-6.2
2026	270	0	122	Hampton	1 – 8	4%	0%	-51.0	-0.6
2026	432	0	123	Miss. Valley State	3 – 6	2%	1%	-54.9	6.2
2026	444	0	124	Morehead State	2 – 7	2%	-1%	-56.2	-3.5
2026	173	0	125	Davidson	3 – 6	2%	1%	-56.9	6.6
2026	678	0	126	Stetson	1 – 8	2%	2%	-56.9	15.2
2026	741	0	127	VMI	0 – 9	1%	-5%	-58.1	-10.4
2026	508	0	128	Northwestern State	0 – 9	1%	-1%	-58.2	-3.0
		FBS		Team

Early-season power ratings will fluctuate quite a bit, and they are especially vulnerable to outliers, such as a blowout win or loss. Preseason predictions have more weight early in the year to mitigate outlier effects. Preseason weight phases out as more games are played and the power rating estimation system becomes convergent.

Beginning in Week 5, iterative strength of schedule adjustments and unequal game weighting (which enables outlier detection) are applied.

Prior to Week 5, due to sparse interconnectivity, strength of schedule is based solely on preseason power ratings, and each game result is weighted equally.

Note: These ratings are predictive in nature. See the CARAT Ratings page for a ranking based purely on in-season accomplishments, designed to represent worthiness of the College Football Playoff rankings.