When it comes to college football coaches, especially assistant coaches, most CFB fans have little objective information or metrics by which to evaluate them. The same is true of sports journalists and athletic directors (search firms often put forth dubious metrics to rate coaches). Head coaches can generally be measured by their overall records and … Continue reading 2022 Coach Ratings →

Good luck in your bowl pickem leagues, and happy holidays! (NOTE: No adjustments to power ratings or win probabilities were made for bowl game opt-outs.) 2021 Bowl Picks with Confidence Points - mcillecesports.com

ODDS ratings measure how each phase contributes to percent chance of winning or losing college football games. ODDS ratings naturally capture how well team phases perform during critical and competitive moments of a game; once a game is no longer competitive, the play-by-play effects on ODDS ratings are negligible, so tacking on meaningless yards or … Continue reading 2021 Bowl Season ODDS Ratings →

π-ratings are power ratings based on changes in play-by-play win probabilities throughout a game, naturally deemphasizing non-competitive game situations without applying arbitrary cutoffs. π-ratings are adjusted for strength of schedule and represent the probability of beating an average FBS opponent (i.e., a team with a 50% π-rating) on a neutral field.π-ratings strike a natural balance … Continue reading 2021 Bowl Season π-Ratings →

ODDS ratings measure how each phase contributes to percent chance of winning or losing college football games. ODDS ratings naturally capture how well team phases perform during critical and competitive moments of a game; once a game is no longer competitive, the play-by-play effects on ODDS ratings are negligible, so tacking on meaningless yards or … Continue reading 2021 Week 14 ODDS Ratings →