These confidence point predictions are based on estimated win probabilities using play-by-play models. No adjustments have been made for injuries or opt-outs.
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2020 Bowl Picks with Confidence Points
Author Archives: mcillecesports
College Football Atlas 2020
ANNOUNCEMENT
College Football Atlas, the biggest college football preview in the country and the ONLY preseason magazine featuring the latest schedule updates, is back for 2020!
A full six pages per team, three times the size of print magazines, loaded with cutting-edge analytics. Nearly 500 pages on the FBS teams active in 2020. Streamlined to focus on stats that are easy to understand, applicable to both players and coaches, and far more informative than the usual box-score data you see elsewhere.
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2020 Features
- A complete over/under matrix with expected returns on all win totals and odds.
- A full Coaching Staff page, complete with coaching ratings (from head coaches to coordinators to assistants) based on their entire FBS coaching histories, and coaching networks to show all the complex trees and branches of the coaching community. Based on the only-one-of-its-kind McIllece Sports coaching staff database, which has complete coaching staff information for all FBS teams from 2005 to 2020.
- An intuitive grading system to make comparisons easier than ever. Percentile (0 to 100) and Letter Grades (F to A+) for all coaches and players, including breakouts by position, offense, defense, and special teams.
- New coaching offense and defense cluster analysis, categorizing teams analytically based on their production.
- Unique advanced statistics (Efficiency and Experience) that are easily understood and uniformly applied to all coaches and players.
- A detailed data dictionary to explain any unfamiliar concepts.
- 2020 recruiting classes, with 0-100 percentiles based on meaningful statistical distributions, instead of the arbitrary grading systems used by various recruiting services.
- Easy-to-interpret strength of schedule and continuity metrics (applied to offense, defense, special teams, and coaching staffs…a feature unique to McIllece Sports).
Since the digital file is fairly large, it may take a minute to download. If you have any issues or questions, please contact: analytics@mcillecesports.com
If you purchase and enjoy the preview, please consider spreading the word (and sharing the link to mcillecesports.com) on your favorite college football message boards and other social media!
Here are sample pages from the 2019 version, the 2nd most accurate preview in the nation last year:
Follow @mcillecesports on Twitter for the latest updahttps://mcillecesports.files.wordpress.com/2019/07/san-jose-state.pdftes!
College Football Conference Predictions
These divisional predictions reflect the latest updates to schedules and rosters. Since scheduling news has been moving fast, some teams may add or drop games after this conference projection release.
Check back on Sunday, August 30th, for the release of College Football Atlas 2020, the only complete CFB preview being launched after all the schedule changes, cancellations, and roster moves that have occurred in this unusual preseason.
College Football Top 25 Predictions
These rankings reflect the latest updates to schedules and rosters. Since scheduling news has been moving fast, some teams may add or drop games after this Top 25 release.
The rankings are intended to be predictive of College Football Playoff final committee rankings. Records do not include conference championship games, but probability of winning the conference is given, as well as probability of reaching the playoff.
Check back on Sunday, August 30th, for the release of College Football Atlas 2020, the only complete CFB preview being launched after all the schedule changes, cancellations, and roster moves that have occurred in this unusual preseason.
2020 All-American and All-Conference Coaching Staffs
While the season remains unsettled and schedules remain unfinished, the 2020 coaching staffs are mostly locked in at this point late in the summer. We may not know if or when college football will be played because of the COVID-19 pandemic, but we do know who the coaches are, and so–despite the uncertainty hovering about the upcoming season–I’m releasing my 2020 All-American (NEW in 2020) and All-Conference Coaching Staffs.
See all the lists here:
All-Conference Coaching Staffs
Be sure to check back in the coming weeks for the College Football Atlas 2020 preview, which is pending official finalization of the CFB schedule. I’m still planning to release the preview, as long as the 2020 CFB season hasn’t been scuttled, but I care about quality and want to have the most up-to-date information about the 2020 season before releasing it to the public.
