Good luck in your bowl pickem leagues, and happy holidays! (NOTE: No adjustments to power ratings or win probabilities were made for bowl game opt-outs, transfer portal entries, or coaching changes.)

On the cusp of Week Zero, here are our top over/under picks for the college football regular season. These picks are all based on the 100,000 season simulations from the College Football Atlas and the win totals and odds listed at FanDuel on 8/26/2022: sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/ncaaf?tab=regular-season-wins Picks are included for 108 out of 131 FBS programs. … Continue reading 2022 Over/Under Picks →

With the 2022 college football season heading into Week Zero, it's time to take a last look at the best odds available for conference championships. People are usually drawn to the favorites in each conference, and maybe to their favorite teams, and understandably so. However, these favorites then tend to become overvalued and over-betted, and … Continue reading 2022 Conference Championship Odds →

π-ratings (Pi-ratings) are nonlinear power ratings based on changes in play-by-play win probabilities throughout a game, naturally deemphasizing non-competitive game situations without applying arbitrary cutoffs. π-ratings are adjusted for strength of schedule (SOS) and represent the probability of beating an average FBS opponent (i.e., a team with a 50% π-rating) on a neutral field. π-ratings … Continue reading 2022 Preseason Power Ratings →

The biggest college football preview in the land is now available for the 2022 season! Pick up the most advanced analytical preview on the market from the most accurate College Football Playoff forecaster* in the country. Don't enter the sportsbook without it.       The CFB landscape has undergone dramatic transformations and is now … Continue reading The 2022 College Football Atlas is live →